News

Asia Roundup: Dollar edges higher ahead of US inflation data, Asian stocks rally , Gold prices edged lower, Oil retreats -September 11th,2025

Posted at 11 September 2025 / Categories Market Roundups


Market Roundup

• Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions (Q3) 3.8, -3.3 forecast, -4.8 previous             

• Japan Foreign Bonds Buying    245.1B   ,1,419.9B previous                          

• Japan Investments in Japanese Stocks  108.6B,-785.7B  previous

• Japan PPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.2% ,-0.1%   forecast, 0.3% previous

• Japan PPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.7%,2.7% forecast, 2.5% previous                          

Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)

• 09:10 Italian 3-Year BTP Auction 2.47% previous                            

• 09:10 Italian 7-Year BTP Auction 3.17% previous            

•12:15 EU Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) 2.00% forecast, 2.00% previous      

•12:15 EU ECB Marginal Lending Facility 2.40%    previous                                                            

12:15 EU ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 2.15% forecast, 2.15% previous                                                            

Looking Ahead Events and Other Releases(GMT)

• 12:15  ECB Monetary Policy Statement 

Currency Forecast

Currency Forecast        

EUR/USD : The euro edged lower on Thursday as markets awaited the release of  ECB rate decision and  U.S. consumer inflation data  The European Central Bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday, as inflation remains near target. However, ongoing trade tensions and political uncertainty mean the ECB continues to leave the door open for further easing.U.S. CPI data, due at 12:30 GMT, is forecast to show a 0.3% monthly increase in August, up from 0.2% in July, with annual inflation expected at 2.9%, rising from 2.7%. Overnight, softer-than-expected U.S. producer prices boosted expectations for up to three Fed rate cuts this year. Markets have fully priced in a 25-basis-point move at next week’s meeting, with an 8% probability of a 50-basis-point reduction. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1807(Higher BB), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1837(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1669(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1681(SMA 20 ).

GBP/USD: The pound dipped against the dollar on Thursday as investors awaited U.S. consumer inflation data due later in the day following weaker-than-expected producer price figures that reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in August due to lower trade services margins and modest increases in goods costs.Investors are now focused on U.S. CPI data, due at 1230 GMT, with   poll forecasting a 0.3% monthly increase in August following a 0.2% rise in July. CPI is expected to have grown 2.9% year-on-year, compared with 2.7% in July.Weaker-than-expected nonfarm payroll data last week, along with revised estimates revealing 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March, have reinforced expectations of monetary easing.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3580(Higher BB), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3680(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3492(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3404(Lower BB).

 AUD/USD: The Australian dollar eased on Thursday as investors globally awaited a reading on U.S. inflation. U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in August due to lower trade services margins and modest increases in goods costs. Investors’ attention is fixed on U.S. CPI figures due at 12:30 GMT. Projections indicate a 0.3% monthly increase in August, up from July’s 0.2%, while the annual rate is seen advancing to 2.9% from 2.7%.The Australian dollar has gained support from rising prices of key commodity exports, particularly iron ore and gold. Iron ore climbed above $107 per metric ton this week, marking its highest level since late February, while gold continued its surge to fresh record highs. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.6622(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.6650(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.6582(Sep 10th low), a break below could take the pair towards 0.6521(SMA20).

USD/JPY: The U.S. dollar gained modestly against the yen on Thursday quiet trading as investors awaited U.S. inflation data ahead of the September FOMC meeting.U.S. inflation likely picked up in August from higher gas prices and tariffs, but remains moderate, keeping markets confident in next week’s Fed rate cut.The Labor Department’s CPI release on Thursday may stoke fears of stagflation amid recent disappointing employment figures.Next Wednesday’s Fed meeting is expected to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut, while markets assign a small probability to a 50-point reduction, according to CME FedWatch. Immediate resistance can be seen at 148.62(50%fib) an upside break can trigger rise towards 148.75(Higher BB) .On the downside, immediate support is seen at  146.95(50%fib)  a break below could take the pair towards 146.43 (Lower BB).

Equities Recap

Asian equities rallied on Thursday, with benchmark indexes in Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea reaching record highs, reflecting strong investor optimism ahead of a widely anticipated U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut next week.

South Korea’s KOSPI was up 0.90% ,China’sA50   traded  up 2.08%  ,Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up  1.33%

Commodities Recap

Gold prices dipped slightly on Thursday, staying near record highs, as investors awaited U.S. consumer inflation data following softer-than-expected producer price figures that bolstered expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,632.48 per ounce, as of 0621 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $3,673.95 on Tuesday.U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.3% to $3,669.80.

Oil prices retreated slightly on Thursday on worries over softening U.S. demand and broad oversupply risks, but losses were limited by concerns over attacks in the Middle East and Russia's war in Ukraine.

Brent crude futures were down 11 cents, or 0.16%, at $67.38 a barrel by 0618 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures lost 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $63.54.


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