Posted at 09 May 2025 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
• China Exports (Apr) 9.30M, 13.50M previous
• China Imports (Apr) 0.80M, -3.50M previous
• China Trade Balance (Apr) 689.99B, 701.00B forecast, 736.72B previous
• China Exports (YoY) (Apr) 8.1%, 1.9% forecast, 12.4% previous
• China Imports (YoY) (Apr) -0.2%,-5.9% forecast, -4.3% previous
• China Trade Balance (USD) (Apr) 96.18B,97.00B forecast, 102.64B previous
Looking Ahead economic Data(GMT)
•06:45 French Reserve Assets Total (Apr) 305,124.0M previous
•07:00 Swiss SECO Consumer Climate (Q2) -34forecast, -21 previous
•08:00 Italian Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar) -2.7% previous
•08:00 Italian Industrial Production (MoM) (Mar) 0.4% forecast, -0.9% previous
•09:00 Greek CPI (YoY) (Apr) 2.4% previous
•09:00 Greek HICP (YoY) (Apr) 3.1% previous
•09:00 Greek Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar) -0.1% previous
•09:10 Italian 12-Month BOT Auction 2.120% previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Releases(GMT)
• No Events Ahead
Currency Forecast
EUR/USD: The euro dipped on Friday as dollar strengthened after a U.S. trade deal with Britain fuelled hopes of progress in tariff talks with other countries. Markets head into the weekend, with focus squarely on trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing, set to begin on Saturday in Switzerland. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet China's top economic official Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland on May 10 to work toward resolving trade disputes. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, edged up 0.1% to reach a one-month peak at 100.77.The euro sagged to a one-month trough at $1.12105 Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1405 (April 28th high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1530 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1223 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1198 (April 11th low).
GBP/USD: The British pound dipped on Friday as dollar gained as U.S.-UK trade deal raised hopes of progress in looming U.S.-China talks.The trade deal raised optimism in global markets, with investors speculating that it could signal progress in the broader context of U.S. tariff negotiations with other countries. After announcing the UK deal, Trump said he expects substantive negotiations between the U.S. and China this weekend and that tariffs on Beijing of 145% would likely come down. This development prompted a shift in market sentiment, with traders anticipating potential breakthroughs in ongoing trade disputes. Sterling, which had rallied on news reports of an impending U.S.-UK trade deal, gave back gains it was last trading down 0.06% at 1.3238 . Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3343(April 24th high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3449(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3253(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3161 (April 15th low).
AUD/USD: The Australian dollar traded flat against dollar on Friday as investors awaited outcome of U.S.-China trade talks. China’s Vice Foreign Minister Hua Chunying expressed confidence in managing U.S. trade issues ahead of the tariff discussions in Switzerland. The meeting is expected to address mutual concerns over tariffs imposed by both countries, which have strained relations and disrupted global trade. Officials are likely to explore ways to ease tensions, find common ground on key issues, and potentially lay the foundation for a broader agreement to stabilize economic ties between the world’s two largest economies. At GMT 06:30, the Australian dollar trading was down 0.01% to 0.6399 against the greenback. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.6462(May 8th high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.6495(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.6379(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.6306(Lower BB).
USD/JPY: The U.S. dollar was headed for weekly gain against yen on Friday as a U.S.-UK trade deal raised hopes of progress in looming U.S.-China talks. U.S. President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Thursday a limited bilateral agreement that leaves Trump's 10% tariffs on British exports in place and lowers prohibitive U.S. duties on British car exports.Trump said he expected substantive negotiations with China this weekend and predicted that U.S. tariffs on Beijing of 145% would come down. Financial markets are heading into the weekend with the focus squarely on trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing due to begin on Saturday in Switzerland. The yen dipped to a one-month low of 146.185 per dollar, after a 1.5% tumble on Thursday. Immediate resistance can be seen at 146.63(50%fib)an upside break can trigger rise towards 147.00 (Psychological level) .On the downside, immediate support is seen at 144.09(38.2%fib)a break below could take the pair towards 142.46(May 7th low).
Equities Recap
Asian stocks advanced on Friday after a U.S. trade deal with Britain fuelled hopes of progress in tariff talks with other countries.
Japan's Nikkei 225 was up 1.49% , China A50 was up 0.42%, Hang Seng was up by 0.14%.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices firmed on Friday as investors attention shifted to the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks over the weekend.
Spot gold was up0.3% to $3,316.29 an ounce, as of 0448 GMT. U.S. gold futures firmed 0.5% to $3,321.60.
Oil prices rose slightly on Friday, extending a 3% gain from the previous session, as easing U.S.-China trade tensions and a "breakthrough" U.S.-UK trade deal boosted market sentiment.
Brent crude rose 23 cents, or 0.37%, to $63.07 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 21 cents, or 0.35%, at $60.12 a barrel as at 0507 GMT. On Thursday, both contracts settled nearly 3% up.