Posted at 24 April 2025 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
• Japan Corporate Services Price Index (CSPI) (YoY) 3.1%, 3.0% forecast,3.2% previous
• Japan Foreign Bonds Buying 223.7B, -511.9B previous
• Japan Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks 705.6B,1,044.9B previous
•Japan 2-Year JGB Auction 0.691%, 0.863% previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data(GMT)
•08:00 German Business Expectations (Apr) 85.0 forecast, 87.7 previous
•08:00 German Current Assessment (Apr) 85.5 forecast, 85.7 previous
•08:00 German Ifo Business Climate Index (Apr) 85.1 forecast, 86.7 previous
•10:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Apr) -36 forecast, -29 previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Releases(GMT)
•12:00 German Buba President Nagel Speaks
Currency Forecast
EUR/USD: The euro strengthened against dollar on Thursday as investors navigated the uncertainty from the Trump administration's fluctuating stance on tariffs and the Federal Reserve's leadership. The International Monetary Fund warned on Wednesday that new U.S. tariffs will drive global public debt above pandemic-era levels, reaching nearly 100% of global GDP by the end of the decade, as slower growth and trade disruptions strain government budgets. The IMF added that this will force governments into tougher decisions, as their budgets are stretched by increased defense spending, rising social support demands, and growing debt service costs, which could worsen with higher inflation. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1438(April 23rd high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1520(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1322(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1141(50%fib).
GBP/USD: The British pound strengthened on Thursday as greenback cooled off Thursday after rallying on Trump’s retreat from firing Fed Chair Powell and hints of milder China tariffs. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday that the high U.S.–China tariffs are unsustainable and must be reduced before talks can resume, but Trump won't unilaterally cut them. On Wednesday, British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves stated that the government is not in a hurry to finalize a trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration and ruled out any concessions on food standards during negotiations. Reeves, like many of her international counterparts, hopes to make progress in reducing Trump’s import tariffs while attending the IMF and World Bank spring meetings in Washington this week. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3395(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3521(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3222(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3066(50%fib).
AUD/USD: The Australian dollar held firm on Thursday, lifted by renewed optimism for a U.S.–China trade breakthrough. Trading whipsawed as the White House’s stance appeared to shift from hour to hour, and President?Trump warned that tariff relief would only come if Beijing returned to the negotiating tableaus. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said tariffs between the U.S. and China must be lowered before trade talks can resume, but Trump won’t unilaterally cut them.Australia’s data calendar has been quiet, yet Q1 consumer price figures due next week could be the swing factor for a May RBA easing. At GMT 07: 18, The Australian dollar was last trading up 0. 23% to $0.6375. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.6451( 23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.6500(Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.6380(38.2%fib) , a break below could take the pair towards 0.6318(50%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar dipped against the yen on Thursday as traders struggled to parse the Trump administration’s shifting messages on tariffs and Fed leadership. This week saw Trump fire verbal shots at Fed Chair Powell, then reverse course on ousting him, and still leave tariff policy on China shrouded in uncertainty.U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday that high U.S.–China tariffs are unsustainable and must be reduced before talks can continue, but Trump won’t unilaterally cut them. Meanwhile, Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato urged G20 nations to work together to stabilize markets, warning that U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures were damaging global growth and financial stability. At GMT 06: 48, The dollar was last trading down 0. 50% to 142.76. Immediate resistance can be seen at 142.86 (38.2%fib) an upside break can trigger rise towards 143.00(Psychological level) On the downside, immediate support is seen at 141.33 (Daily low) a break below could take the pair towards 140.34(23.6%fib).
Equities Recap
Asian stocks was mixed on Thursday as investors weighed the volatile trade and Federal Reserve leadership news from the Trump administration.
Japan's Nikkei 225 was up 0.61% , South Korea's KOSPI was down 0. 13%,Hang Seng was down by 1. 12%
Commodities Recap
Gold prices surged over 1% on Thursday due to bargain buying, recovering from a one-week low hit the day before amid optimism about the U.S.-China trade deal.
Spot gold rose 1.1% to $3,323.21 an ounce, as of 0634 GMT. U.S. gold futures gained 1.1% to $3,330.20.
Oil prices rebounded on Thursday after a nearly 2% drop the day before, as investors balanced the possibility of an OPEC+ output boost with mixed tariff signals from the White House and ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations.
Brent crude futures were up 53 cents, or 0.8%, to $66.65 a barrel at 0706 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 55 cents, or 0.88%, to $62.82 a barrel.