Posted at 30 September 2026 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•Canada GDP (MoM) (Jul) 0.0%, 0.0% forecast, 0.3% previous
•Canada GDP (MoM) (Aug) 0.2%, 0.0% previous
•US Redbook (YoY) 8.2%, 7.6% previous
•US S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. (MoM) (Jul) 0.0%, 0.4% previous
•US S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Jul) 2.5%, 2.2% forecast, 2.2% previous
•US S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 s.a. (MoM) (Jul) 0.3%, 0.3% previous
•US House Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 2.6%, 2.3% previous
•US House Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 0.3%, 0.1% forecast, 0.0% previous
•US House Price Index (Jul) 443.5, 442.3 previous
•US CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) 81.9, 89.2 forecast, 88.6 previous
•US JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) 7.079M, 7.230M forecast, 7.335M previous
•US Texas Services Sector Outlook (Sep) -1.8, 4.2 previous
•US Dallas Fed Services Revenues (Sep) -0.9, 6.6 previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)
•01:30 Australia Building Approvals (MoM) (Aug) -0.9% forecast, -3.6% previous
•01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit (MoM) (Aug) 0.5% forecast, 0.6% previous
•01:30 Australia Housing Credit (Aug) 0.5% previous
•01:30 Australia Private House Approvals (Aug) -4.2% previous
•01:30 Australia Building Approvals (YoY) (Aug) 9.00% previous
•01:30 Australia Weighted mean CPI (YoY) (Aug) 4.10% forecast, 3.50% previous
•01:30 Australia Weighted mean CPI (YoY) (Aug) 3.6% previous
•01:30 Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (YoY) (Aug) 3.6% previous
•01:30 China Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 50.1 forecast, 49.8 previous
•01:30 China Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 49.2 forecast, 49.0 previous
•01:30 China Composite PMI (Sep) 49.5 previous
•01:30 China Caixin Services PMI (Sep) 51.3 forecast, 51.4 previous
•01:30 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 51.7 forecast, 51.5 previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Releases (GMT)
• No Events Ahead
Currency Forecast
EUR/USD : The euro slipped on Tuesday as investors positioned ahead of key US economic data that could provide fresh clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate path, while Treasury yields remained near multi-year highs. Markets are awaiting the August PCE inflation report on Wednesday and September nonfarm payrolls data on Friday. Investors also assessed Fed officials’ comments, with New York Fed President John Williams saying the central bank has time to evaluate incoming data before its next rate decision, while Fed Governor Michael Barr renewed his call for further rate hikes. The euro fell to $1.1312, its lowest level since May 2025.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1450(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1539(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1315(Daily low), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1308(Lower BB).
GBP/USD: Sterling slipped on Tuesday as dollar firmed ahead of economic data that could offer clues on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path.Market attention is turning to the August PCE index due Wednesday, followed by September’s nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, for signals on the Fed’s rate path.Markets now see a near 70% chance of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve at the end of October.Meanwhile, Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor said on Tuesday that the central bank’s annual survey of firms’ 2027 wage expectations, due in January, would be a key factor in his assessment of whether interest rates should be raised. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3267(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3366(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3214(Sep 25th low), a break below could take the pair towards1.3153(23.6%fib).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar fell against the US dollar on Tuesday as broad gains in the greenback and a decline in oil prices weighed on the currency. Canadian GDP was flat in July, as expected, while a preliminary estimate showed the economy expanded 0.2% in August. US crude futures dropped 3.5% to $89.38 a barrel amid signs of recovering crude exports from the Middle East. Separately, markets reduced bets on a Fed hike next month following comments from New York Fed President John Williams that there was “no urgency” for further action. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.4235(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.4261(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.4142(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.4055(50%fib).
USD /JPY : The US dollar was little changed against the yen on Tuesday as the threat of Japanese intervention limited market moves. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated Tokyo’s cautious stance on exchange-rate movements, saying Japan and the US had agreed to deepen cooperation in her September 25 call with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. She said Japan would continue close communication with the US Treasury to help maintain stable and orderly foreign exchange markets. Japan’s currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura also said Monday that both countries had made their concerns over yen weakness “very clear” to markets. Immediate resistance can be seen at 158.00(Psychological level), an upside break can trigger rise towards 158.48(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 156.46(SMA 20) a break below could take the pair towards 156.13(61.8%fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed lower on Tuesday as higher bond yields pressured investor sentiment, overshadowing gains in technology shares fueled by renewed AI optimism.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed down by 0.45 percent, Germany's Dax ended up 0.10 percent, France’s CAC finished the day down by 0.53 percent.
US equities closed modestly lower on Tuesday as rising government bond yields weighed on sentiment ahead of inflation and employment data, with investors also tracking Fed officials’ remarks on future rate policy.
Dow Jones closed down by 0.26% percent, S&P 500 closed down by 0.16% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 0.09% percent.
Commodities Recap
Gold gained 1% on Tuesday, rebounding from a more than seven-week low in the previous session, but remained below its 100-day moving average as inflation concerns boosted expectations of tighter Fed policy.
Spot gold rose 0.7% to $4,142.89 an ounce by 1:55 p.m. ET (1755 GMT), after touching $4,112.97, just above Monday’s more than seven-week low of $4,110.55. US gold futures settled 0.3% higher at $4,179.70.
Oil prices settled 2.5% lower on Tuesday as signs of recovering crude exports from the Middle East eased supply concerns, although prices remained on track for monthly gains amid lingering worries over disruptions from the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Brent crude futures closed down $2.69, or 2.6%, at $102.59 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude settled down $3.22 or 3.5% at $89.38.